Fidelity’s John Sweeney talks rebalancing your portfolio
Like many things in life, investing is all about balance.
As the market moves and other forces take shape, different investments will grow at different rates. Over time, this may leave investors with a higher percentage of money in one type of investment than originally intended, such as more stocks than bonds.
Rebalancing, as it is known, is the act of reviewing and shifting investments to make sure they continue to reflect your goals. That could mean restoring them back to your original asset allocation or updating them to reflect your changing needs.
It’s an important and often overlooked part of investing that we discussed with John Sweeney, executive vice president of retirement and investing strategies at Fidelity. Answers have been edited for length and clarity.
Q: There are different theories on rebalancing. What are your thoughts on how to approach it?
A: Our philosophy on asset allocation is important to understand first, and that will feed into why rebalancing is important. We try to work with our investors to make sure their asset allocation lines up with their goals, which include time horizon and their risk tolerance.
A 25-year-old is not going to retire for 40 years, so their risk tolerance should be fairly aggressive and therefore heavily oriented toward equities. Because they have time to withstand volatility, we suggest 90 percent (stocks). A 65 year-old, by contrast, should have more like 55 percent in stocks.
What ends up happening when you have a period like we have over the past 10 years, even with the market downturn, the stock market is up about 170 percent from its lows. So you are likely to end up with a portfolio that is significantly more heavily allocated to stocks than to bonds. Unless you’ve been rebalancing or are in some portfolio or service where that happens automatically, then you are probably more heavily weighted to stocks than you would like to be.
Q: This is obviously important as you near retirement, but seems to be an issue at any age. Who should consider rebalancing?
A: Target date funds are becoming a much more significant part of people’s retirement accounts. And that is a really good thing because the asset allocation question is taken out of the hands of the individual saver and put in the hands of the portfolio manager.
So you are seeing a lot more people in the appropriate allocation for their age and risk tolerance. That’s good news.
People who are managing their portfolios on their own should be aware of (rebalancing) regardless of age. You should also pay attention to the money you have outside of your retirement plan, such as a brokerage account that is for some other goal.
Q: How often should people be rebalancing?
A: One way to do it is time-based. We would suggest at least once a year. Certainly we have some customers that do it once a quarter. You could do it every month if you want.
The way our portfolio managers would do it in a managed account or a mutual fund is on a risk-adjusted basis. What I mean by that is you let the portfolio drift within a band. (Once you hit a certain threshold,) you are going to take some of that equity risk off the table so the portfolio doesn’t get whipsawed too drastically should stocks fall.
Q: What is the most common mistake you see?
A: People don’t do it. We ask people when they come in: “Okay, when was the last time you rebalanced your portfolio?” and they give you a blank stare.
Sometimes the structure of the fund will do it for you. But sometimes people just don’t do it.
You end up with people who have an allocation that is the same as when they started working, which may have been 40 or 20 some years ago. That is a risky scenario. The other scenario is a young person who doesn’t make any election at all and they are 100 percent in cash. And that money isn’t really earning anything for them because it’s just sitting there.
Q: Where is the line between responsibly rebalancing and tinkering with things too much?
A: We have what I like to characterize as three different ways of driving: you can have an automatic transmission. I liken that to a target date fund. You can have a manual transmission, where you can have the portfolio construction tool and rebalance it on your own. And you have a car service: a managed account where you don’t have to worry about the rebalancing or the fund selecting. We’ll worry about the taxes for you, too. People may migrate among those over time as their skills and lifestyle change.
Q: When people are making adjustments, how much should they be looking at long-term market performance versus recent market activity?
A: We often meet people who say, “Oh my goodness, there is an election coming up, what do I do? Should I pull out of the market until the election is over? What about growth slowing in China? What about natural disasters happening around the world?”
These global events and elections and changes in leaderships in countries have happened for hundreds of years.
Try to keep your focus on the time horizon in which you need the money, instead of short term movements in the chart.
The best example we can provide for folks is to show a chart of ’08 and ’09. While we were living through that, it was incredibly painful. And you know it was very hard for us to every day tell investors to stay the course, but when you look in the rearview mirror, that very significant drop, which it absolutely was, looks like a small pothole in an otherwise upward trajectory.
It was a painful staying the course but it was the right thing to do.