#5. AL East: Baltimore Orioles
Projected record: 77-85Projected run differential: -36After losing in the wild card game, the Orioles didn’t make any drastic changes for 2017. The team re-signed Mark Trumbo and also added Welington Castillo and Seth Smith, and the lineup figures to have plenty of free-swinging power hitters. What the team will lack is defense -- particularly in the outfield, which will be manned by some combination of Trumbo, Smith, Adam Jones, Hyun Soo Kim and Joey Rickard, none of whom are considered good defenders.Baltimore’s pitching staff ranked in the middle of the pack in terms of fly ball percentage, but those fly balls will hurt more next season with a weaker group in the outfield. Ace Chris Tillman has been shelved during spring training due to shoulder discomfort, not a good sign for an already thin rotation. For the Orioles to outperform this projection, they’ll need young arms Kevin Gausman and Dylan Bundy to fully realize their potential and stay healthy for the full season. Zach Britton, Mychal Givens and Brad Brach all return to form one of the league’s best bullpen trio.