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Handicappers Corner, Week 9

November 3, 2018 GMT

PFW’s Week 9 predictions:

DETROIT at MINNESOTA (-5)

Bob LeGere: MIN

Eric Edholm: MIN

Arthur Arkush: MIN

Hub Arkush: MIN

KANSAS CITY (-8) at CLEVELAND

BL: KC

EE: CLE*

AA: CLE*

HA: KC

PITTSBURGH at BALTIMORE (-3)

BL: PIT

EE: BAL

AA: PIT

HA: PIT

TAMPA BAY at CAROLINA (-6 ½)

BL: TB*

EE: CAR

AA: CAR

HA: CAR

N.Y. JETS at MIAMI (-3)

BL: MIA

EE: MIA

AA: MIA

HA: MIA

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON (-1 ½)

BL: WAS

EE: ATL

AA: ATL

HA: ATL

CHICAGO (-10) at BUFFALO

BL: BUF*

EE: BUF*

AA: CHI

HA: BUF*

HOUSTON at DENVER (-1)

BL: DEN

EE: DEN

AA: HOU

HA: HOU

L.A. CHARGERS at SEATTLE (-1)

BL: LAC

EE: SEA

AA: LAC

HA: LAC

L.A. RAMS (-1) at NEW ORLEANS

BL: LAR

EE: NO

AA: LAR

HA: LAR

GREEN BAY at NEW ENGLAND (-5 ½)

BL: GB*

EE: GB*

AA: GB*

HA: NE

TENNESSEE at DALLAS (-5 ½)

BL: TEN*

EE: TEN*

AA:DAL

HA: TEN*

BEST BETS

BL: WAS

The Falcons’ defense has been decimated by injuries, and though their offense remains explosive, it is not the same outfit away from home, where it has played just two games so far this season, scoring a total of 29 points in two losses. At Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Falcons have scored more than 30 points in four of five games. Washington has won three straight at home, allowing just 17 points in each of the victories at FedEx Field. Washington is No. 5 in total yards allowed and No. 4 in points allowed. The Falcons’ QB Matt Ryan and WR Julio Jones have formed a dynamic duo so far, but that won’t be enough.

EE: MIN

Doesn’t it feel like this line should be higher? Let’s say the Vikings don’t commit what amounted to two fluky turnovers against the Saints and lose a close one, like 23-20. Wouldn’t Minnesota be almost a touchdown favorite in this one? I don’t quite get the idea of the Lions only getting 4.5 here, especially after they traded their most reliable third-down receiver — by far. Oh, and the Vikings have had the best third-down defense in NFL history since the start of 2017. They played very good defense against the Saints last week and should do even better against a less-talented Lions squad. Vikings win by two scores, lock it in hard here.

AA: CHI

The Bears lead the NFL in interception percentage. The NFL’s active leader among quarterbacks in INT percentage is Bills QB Derek Anderson (3.8), who is in concussion protocol. His likely replacement, Nate Peterman, is at 3.7. It will be tough sledding for the Bears’ offense against a prideful and well coached Bills stop unit. But much like Monday night, when the Patriots covered a bigger number in Buffalo with a defensive touchdown, I expect Chicago’s defense to create a couple short fields, if not a touchdown of its own. I’m 2-0 with best bets against Buffalo, both with bigger numbers than this, and see no reason to stop now.

HA: HOU

To say the Texans are on a roll is a bit of an understatement as they fly into Denver on a five-game win streak with the defense getting better every week and Deshaun Watson on fire. Meantime, the Broncos have dropped four of their past five, with only a Thursday-night pounding of the lowly Cardinals in the win column. It seems to me the Broncs may have fired their last bullet in just getting close to Kansas City Sunday, while the Texans are likely to be energized by the arrival of ex-Bronco Demaryius Thomas, who should be looking to pile up some numbers in his last show in front of the “home” folks for the foreseeable future.

LAST WEEK’S RESULTS

Overall / ATS / Best Bets

BL: 9-4 / 4-9 / 1-0

EE: 11-2 / 8-5 / 0-1

AA: 11-2 / 9-4 / 1-0

HA: 10-3 / 9-4 / 1-0

SEASON RESULTS

BL: 68-42-2 / 51-55-6 / 3-5

EE: 71-39-2 / 50-54-8 / 4-3-1

AA: 76-34-2 / 59-46-7 / 6-2

HA: 71-39-2 / 57-48-7 / 4-4

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