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AP VoteCast: New Hampshire voters sour on state of nation

November 16, 2020 GMT

Voters in New Hampshire made their pick for president while holding negative views about the country’s direction, according to an expansive AP survey of the American electorate.

The race between President Donald Trump and Democratic rival Joe Biden concluded Tuesday as the nation remains in the throes of a global public health crisis and mired in the economic downturn it brought on. AP VoteCast found that 39% of New Hampshire voters said the U.S. is on the right track and 61% of voters said it is headed in the wrong direction.

Here’s a snapshot of who voted and what matters to them, based on preliminary results from AP VoteCast, a nationwide survey of about 133,000 voters and nonvoters -- including 2,230 voters and 130 nonvoters in New Hampshire -- conducted for The Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago.

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TRUMP VS BIDEN

In the race for president, Biden had an advantage over Trump among voters under 45 while older voters were split between Biden and Trump.

College-educated voters were more likely to prefer Biden over Trump while voters without a college degree were split between Trump and Biden.

Biden appeared to lead Trump among both suburban voters and voters in small towns and rural areas.

RACE FOR SENATE

In the race for U.S. Senate, Jeanne Shaheen had an advantage over Corky Messner among both voters under 45 and older voters.

Voters without a college degree modestly preferred Shaheen over Messner. College-educated voters were more likely to back Shaheen.

Shaheen had an edge among suburban voters. Shaheen was preferred over Messner among voters in small towns and rural areas.

RACE FOR GOVERNOR

In the race for governor, Chris Sununu appeared to lead Dan Feltes among voters under 45. Sununu was preferred among older voters.

Both voters without a college degree and college-educated voters were more likely to favor Sununu.

Both suburban voters and voters in small towns and rural areas were more likely to support Sununu.

FACING THE PANDEMIC

The coronavirus pandemic has spread through the U.S. for roughly eight months, killing more than 230,000 Americans. Overall, 19% of voters said the virus in the U.S. is completely or mostly under control, and 32% said it’s somewhat under control. Forty-nine percent of voters think the coronavirus is not at all under control in this country.

ON THE ISSUES

The coronavirus pandemic was top of mind for many voters in New Hampshire. Forty-three percent said it is the most important issue facing the country today.

Voters also considered the economy a major issue, with 27% saying it ranked at the top.

Eight percent named health care, 7% named climate change and 4% named racism.

NATIONAL ECONOMY

Voters were closely divided in their assessments of the nation’s economy. Overall, 48% described economic conditions in the U.S. as excellent or good, and 52% called them not so good or poor.

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AP created this story automatically using results from AP VoteCast, a survey of the American electorate conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for Fox News, NPR, PBS NewsHour, Univision News, USA Today Network, The Wall Street Journal and The Associated Press. The survey of 2,230 voters in New Hampshire was conducted for eight days, concluding as polls closed. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. The survey combines a random sample of registered voters drawn from the state voter file and self-identified registered voters selected from nonprobability online panels. The margin of sampling error for voters is estimated to be plus or minus 3.1 percentage points. Find more details about AP VoteCast’s methodology at https://ap.org/votecast.

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For AP’s complete coverage of the U.S. presidential elections: https://apnews.com/hub/election-2020