AP VoteCast: Pennsylvania voters sour on state of nation

November 16, 2020 GMT

Voters in Pennsylvania made their pick for president while holding negative views about the country’s direction, according to an expansive AP survey of the American electorate.

The race between President Donald Trump and Democratic rival Joe Biden concluded Tuesday as the nation remains in the throes of a global public health crisis and mired in the economic downturn it brought on. AP VoteCast found that 40% of Pennsylvania voters said the U.S. is on the right track and 60% of voters said it is headed in the wrong direction.

Here’s a snapshot of who voted and what matters to them, based on preliminary results from AP VoteCast, a nationwide survey of about 133,000 voters and nonvoters -- including 4,134 voters and 872 nonvoters in Pennsylvania -- conducted for The Associated Press by NORC at the University of Chicago.



In the race for president, Biden had an advantage over Trump among voters under 45 but Trump had an advantage among older voters.

Black voters were more likely to favor Biden but white voters were more likely to support Trump over Biden.

Biden had an advantage among college-educated voters but Trump had an advantage over Biden among voters without a college degree.

Both voters in cities and suburban voters were more likely to favor Biden. Voters in small towns and rural areas were more likely to back Trump.


The coronavirus pandemic has spread through the U.S. for roughly eight months, killing more than 230,000 Americans. Overall, 19% of voters said the virus in the U.S. is completely or mostly under control, and 30% said it’s somewhat under control. Fifty-one percent of voters think the coronavirus is not at all under control in this country.


The coronavirus pandemic was top of mind for many voters in Pennsylvania. Forty-two percent said it is the most important issue facing the country today.

Voters also considered the economy a major issue, with 29% saying it ranked at the top.

Eight percent named health care, 7% named racism and 4% named law enforcement.


Voters were more negative than positive in their assessments of the nation’s economy. Overall, 44% described economic conditions in the U.S. as excellent or good, and 56% called them not so good or poor.


Among registered voters who chose not to cast a ballot in Pennsylvania, 26% said that was because they don’t like the candidates, 25% said they don’t like politics generally and 11% said they don’t know enough about the candidates’ positions.

In Pennsylvania, 59% of nonvoters were younger than 45 and 71% did not have a college degree.


AP created this story automatically using results from AP VoteCast, a survey of the American electorate conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago for Fox News, NPR, PBS NewsHour, Univision News, USA Today Network, The Wall Street Journal and The Associated Press. The survey of 4,134 voters in Pennsylvania was conducted for eight days, concluding as polls closed. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. The survey combines a random sample of registered voters drawn from the state voter file and self-identified registered voters selected from nonprobability online panels. The margin of sampling error for voters is estimated to be plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. Find more details about AP VoteCast’s methodology at https://ap.org/votecast.



For AP’s complete coverage of the U.S. presidential elections: https://apnews.com/hub/election-2020