An election expectations guide for the 2022 Midterm Elections

Alabama: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Republicans are looking to extend their current lock on all statewide offices in Alabama in the face of opposition from the Democratic and Libertarian parties.

The race to replace U.S. Sen. Richard Shelby, 88, who is retiring after six terms, is the marquee contest.

Alaska: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Statewide races for U.S. Senate, U.S. House and governor top the ticket in Alaska’s ranked choice election.

Republican U.S.

Arizona: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Control of the U.S. Senate and House could go directly through Arizona as Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly tries to win a full term after nabbing the last two years of the late Sen. John McCain’s seat in 2018.

Arkansas: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

The biggest name on the ballot this year in Arkansas is Sarah Sanders, who was White House press secretary under Donald Trump and is bidding to be the first woman elected governor of the solidly Republican state.

California: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Democrats dominate California politics. The party controls all statewide elected offices, has super majorities in both houses of the state Legislature and controls 80% of the state’s congressional seats.

Colorado: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

DENVER (AP) — Colorado has turned increasingly blue over the past decade, thanks in part to an influx of college-educated voters in the expanding Denver metropolitan area.

Connecticut: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

While Connecticut is considered a blue state, certain parts have become more conservative since former President Donald Trump came on the scene, giving the GOP some hope for success this year.

Delaware: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Voters in President Joe Biden's home state of Delaware did most of their civic duty during the September primary, which tends to be where the competition in this true blue state happens. And it was no run-of-the-mill primary.

Florida: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Florida, once a state that decided the presidency by 537 votes, could look solid red after Tuesday’s election.

Running for re-election are Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis, who is considered a top candidate for the White House in 2024, and Republican Sen.

Georgia: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Georgia has transformed into the South’s most electorally competitive state in recent years. White population numbers have fallen, Democrats have gotten better at mobilizing their supporters and a crucial fraction of college-educated white voters have become more open to voting for Democrats.

Hawaii: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Hawaii is one of the nation’s most reliably blue states, with Democrats dominating federal and statewide elected offices. Joe Biden won 63% of the vote in 2020, while 34% cast ballots for Donald Trump.

Idaho: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Republicans so dominate deeply conservative Idaho that Election Day can be anticlimactic to the GOP primary in May, where most races in the past several decades have been decided.

Republicans are looking to continue their dominance by retaining all statewide elected offices, a U.S.

Illinois: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

With Democrats’ supermajority control of the General Assembly, Gov. J.B. Pritzker has enjoyed four years of pushing through major initiatives beginning with an overdue $45 billion capital construction plan, a $15-an-hour minimum wage, legalized recreational marijuana while later reducing tens of billions of dollars in debt.

Indiana: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Indiana has been virtually a one-party state over the past decade, with Democrats struggling to find success outside urban areas and college towns. Donald Trump carried Indiana easily in both 2016 and 2020 with former Indiana Gov.

Iowa: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Iowa has historically been a battleground state but has taken a right turn in the past decade. Republicans won the governor’s office and the Iowa House in 2010 and maintain a strong likelihood of retaining both.

Kansas: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Republicans have long enjoyed a voter registration advantage in Kansas; a Democratic presidential candidate hasn’t carried the state since Lyndon Johnson in 1964, and former President Donald Trump carried it by big margins in 2016 and 2020.

Kentucky: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Kentucky has become increasingly Republican since 2016, when Donald Trump’s popularity atop the ticket enabled the GOP to win the state House to complete its takeover of the legislature and solidify its power.

Louisiana: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Louisiana’s lone U.S. Senate race features Republican incumbent John Kennedy, who is seeking a second term.

Maine: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

A growing political divide between rural and urban, and coastal and inland communities, will likely come into sharper focus in the midterm election. This was underscored by Republican President Donald Trump’s success in the sprawling, rural 2nd Congressional District, where he earned a single electoral vote in both elections even though he lost the statewide vote.

Maryland: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

This is a big election year in Maryland, long a blue state that became majority-minority over the past decade, with statewide races for governor, attorney general and comptroller, all 188 seats in the General Assembly, the state’s eight U.S.

Massachusetts: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Massachusetts voters are facing the choice of returning the governor’s office to Democratic hands while also weighing ballot questions including one that would raise taxes on individuals earning more than a million dollars.

Michigan: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Michigan has been a divided state the past four years with Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and a GOP-controlled statehouse.

Democrats hope to gain an advantage in at least one of the chambers in the midterm elections, buoyed by redistricting after the 2020 Census that was handled for the first time by a nonpartisan commission.

Minnesota: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Minnesota was traditionally a blue state but has become more purple over the years. Rural Minnesota has grown more Republican while Minneapolis, St. Paul and their suburbs have become more Democratic, along with certain regional centers including Rochester and Duluth.

Mississippi: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Mississippi is deciding four U.S. House races, with incumbents on the ballot in three. The longest-serving member of the state’s current congressional delegation is Democratic Rep. Bennie Thompson, chairman of the House Homeland Security Committee and of the House select committee investigating the Jan.

Missouri: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Missouri’s top race is a faceoff between GOP Attorney General Eric Schmitt and Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine for retiring U.S.

Montana: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

MONTANA (AP) — Montana’s elected offices have increasingly been won by Republicans, with the GOP winning all the statewide partisan elected offices, including the governorship, in 2020. Former President Donald Trump won 56% of the Montana vote in both 2016 and 2020.

Nebraska: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

While Republicans have a firm hold on Nebraska’s state government, the state’s Omaha-based 2nd Congressional District has morphed into a swing district in the last 15 years and is the state’s only consistently competitive U.S.

Nevada: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Nevada is home to one of the most closely watched U.S.

New Hampshire: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

New Hampshire is a purple state, with Republicans in charge at the state level, Democrats at the federal level and both sides looking to at least hold serve.

New Jersey: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

New Jersey’s status as a reliable Democratic state got cemented during former President Donald Trump’s administration. The party picked up four U.S.

New Mexico: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Democrats have consolidated control over all three branches of state government since Lujan Grisham succeeded a termed-out Republican governor, including commanding majorities in the Legislature. Joe Biden won the state by 11 percentage points in 2020, but Republicans at the same time unseated a one-term Democratic congresswoman in a district along the U.S.

New York: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Ever-blue New York has twice as many registered Democrats as Republicans and has turned less friendly for Republicans over the past decade, thanks in part to upstate population loss and a decrease in New Yorkers identifying as Republicans.

North Carolina: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

North Carolina’s statewide elections are generally closely divided affairs, but Democrats have failed to win a U.S Senate race since 2008. Party officials were encouraged that the streak could be broken this year when former state Supreme Court Chief Justice Cheri Beasley got in the race last year.

North Dakota: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

North Dakota's ballot on Tuesday offers some intrigue in the reliably red state — from late congressional entries by independent candidates to term limits and marijuana legalization.

Ohio: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 5, 2022 GMT

OHIO (AP) — Ohio Republicans will seek to retain their hold on every branch of state government this Election Day as Democrats look to a competitive U.S. Senate race as a possible pickup.

The top race has Democratic U.S.

Oklahoma: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Republicans have had complete control of Oklahoma for more than a decade and currently control both U.S. Senate seats, all five U.S. House seats and enjoy super majorities in the state House and Senate.

Oregon: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Oregon has been controlled by Democrats for decades but a combination of factors has Republicans thinking they could increase their political power.

The presence of a third-party candidate combined with the unpopularity of outgoing Democratic incumbent Kate Brown makes this governor’s race among the hardest to read in the country.

Pennsylvania: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Pennsylvania, a perpetual swing state, is home to two of the most closely watched races in the country this fall.

The contest to succeed term-limited Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf pits GOP state Sen.

Rhode Island: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Rhode Island voters are deciding this November whether the Democratic governor will get to serve his first full term in office, and whether the Democratic Party will retain its three-decade hold on a U.S.

South Carolina: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Republicans in South Carolina have steadily increased their hold on elected offices, occupying all statewide elected seats and all but one spot in the state’s seven-member U.S. House delegation. There have been some localized red-to-blue flips in recent years, but in many cases the state’s primaries, rather than general balloting, are the more contentious elections.

South Dakota: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

It’s difficult to overstate how dominant Republicans have become in South Dakota. They have nearly doubled Democrats on voter rolls; the party holds 90% of the Legislature, and it’s been over a decade since a Democrat has won a statewide race.

Tennessee: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Tennessee is a ruby-red state, with GOP leaders holding control of statewide offices and supermajorities inside the General Assembly and congressional seats.

This year, Republican Gov. Bill Lee is running for reelection against first-time Democratic opponent Jason Martin.

Texas: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

Texas is booming, adding nearly 4 million new residents over the past decade and gaining two U.S.

Utah: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Utah's politics borrow a great deal from the state's predominant religion, The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints. Most of its population and a vast majority of its politicians are members of the faith.

Vermont: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Vermont voters this Election Day could choose the first woman to serve in the state’s Congressional delegation.

In what some see as an anomaly in deep-blue Vermont, the state is the only one in the country that has never sent a woman or a member of a minority group to represent it in Congress.

Virginia: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 2, 2022 GMT

Three congressional races in newly redrawn districts are drawing the most attention — and money — in Virginia this year.

In each of those races, which could play a role in deciding which party controls the U.S.

Washington: What to expect on election night

By The Associated PressNovember 3, 2022 GMT

What to expect on election night in Washington state? A long wait.

If control of the U.S. House comes down to congressional races there, it could take days — or weeks — for the nation to know the outcome.

Election Expectations 2022

What to expect on election night, with information about advance vote, poll closing time and more from AP's election research and decision teams.

Alabama: What to expect on election night

Alaska: What to expect on election night

Arizona: What to expect on election night

Arkansas: What to expect on election night

California: What to expect on election night

Colorado: What to expect on election night

Connecticut: What to expect on election night

Delaware: What to expect on election night

Florida: What to expect on election night

Georgia: What to expect on election night

Hawaii: What to expect on election night

Idaho: What to expect on election night

Illinois: What to expect on election night

Indiana: What to expect on election night

Iowa: What to expect on election night

Kansas: What to expect on election night

Kentucky: What to expect on election night

Louisiana: What to expect on election night

Maine: What to expect on election night

Maryland: What to expect on election night

Massachusetts: What to expect on election night

Michigan: What to expect on election night

Minnesota: What to expect on election night

Mississippi: What to expect on election night

Missouri: What to expect on election night

Montana: What to expect on election night

Nebraska: What to expect on election night

Nevada: What to expect on election night

New Hampshire: What to expect on election night

New Jersey: What to expect on election night

New Mexico: What to expect on election night

New York: What to expect on election night

North Carolina: What to expect on election night

North Dakota: What to expect on election night

Ohio: What to expect on election night

Oklahoma: What to expect on election night

Oregon: What to expect on election night

Pennsylvania: What to expect on election night

Rhode Island: What to expect on election night

South Carolina: What to expect on election night

South Dakota: What to expect on election night

Tennessee: What to expect on election night

Texas: What to expect on election night

Utah: What to expect on election night

Vermont: What to expect on election night

Virginia: What to expect on election night

Washington: What to expect on election night

West Virginia: What to expect on election night

Wisconsin: What to expect on election night

Wyoming: What to expect on election night